World Cup Final: U.S. Viewership
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.
If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
- Market open
- Jul 17, 2026, 12:58 AM
- Market closes
- After the outcome occurs
- Projected payout
- 1 minute after closing
This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 19, 2026, 11:59 PM.
In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".
Live community discussion.
GG 63m. I sold both 54-58 and 58+ at a same time so I lost only 1-2%
♥ 1- AN
Why did yousold the 58+?
这些人怎么想的，西语已经出来了2260万，想要超过5800万英语至少要3600万，还买是
- EE
还是这个是观看平均人数，美国队那场平均才37m，西语＋英语50m
大概率5500万
- EE
我问deepseek和gemini都是40m左右，美国队上次才30m
西语已经出来了2260万，英语最多给个3300万，大概就是5500万左右
- EE
在哪看到的，nielsen没找到
"World Cup Finals on Track for Record-Breaking Ratings With 23 Million Viewers on Telemundo".
♥ 1Fox English: Minimum 40 million (Historically, Fox's viewership for a final has never been less than the peak viewership of a USA match). With this year's halftime show, extra time, Donald Trump, and a U.S. stadium, 40 million is the floor, and it could even reach 45M+ or 50M+ if a miracle happens. Telemundo (TAD) + Stream: Minimum 20 million. The Argentina vs. Switzerland match drew 11.8 million viewers on Spanish-language television, even though it wasn't a final. It is hard to believe that the match between Spain and Argentina will have fewer than 20 million viewers under the conditions I mentioned above when estimating the Fox English viewership. Total: 60 million plus without a doubt; 54 million+ is guaranteed. Fun fact, if count all sources (even source is not in Nielsen report), it can be easy to reach 80m+
♥ 3Feel like half time show will be MVP
63m hehe. Call me goat.
- BI
lfg
At least 65m after watching the match. The half time show will make sure it will pass
- EE
average，bro
still easy look at movie market 40% drop on Minion and Toy Story 5 and 30%+ drop on Odyssey tell a story
At least 55m so I buy 54m-58 and 58m+ bracket
- EE
more than NFL？
NFL is over 125m man
~60m