⚽Sports

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$50.5KVolume

Oct 27, 2026Resolves

1dleft

1,378Comments

Price history

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Market open: —
Market closes: After the outcome occurs
Projected payout: 1 minute after closing

This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM.

In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".

Live community discussion.

milkthedip5m
I like how kane holders are the quietest 🧠
♥ 1
HE
Heler-09540m
keep betting on mbappe
♥ 1
DR
draken0643m
Yall forget about the past if lewandowski didnt win the 2021 balon dor then kane aint getting it this year
badtothebone43018m
It's not too late to sell
milkthedip17m
Yet Kane sits at 70% oferring you such a good risk:reward
WE
Well-Documented-Inhibition13m
wtf are u on abt
milkthedip4m
Kane NO is good R:R you dumb
PredSharp1h
this is gonna upset so many kane holders bro
♥ 1
milkthedip1h
Bet on it
BE
BeastyVisions1h
Dembele is going to win it.
milkthedip1h
1 Kane 2 Yamal 3 Mbappe/Kvara
♥ 1
AF
Affectionate-Estate1h
1 Kylian Mbappe 2 Harry Kane 3 Lamine Yamal
♥ 2
FO
forgotmydinner4h
There will be a big upset
♥ 1
milkthedip3h
Yeah, upamecano will lift the trophy
♥ 2
Leo-Messi4h
Some retards with money easily manipulated this market
♥ 4
LO
Lovable-Paper4h
Just remember, we are hearing the fact 5 people know the BdO's results, the others leaked in X are all faked. People belives Mbappe are going to win because of his performance vs Barca yesterday.
♥ 4
milkthedip3h
Same people let mbappe sit around 2% for weeks even after the vote closed
FlowState104h
mboobies didn't win shit with less goals than harry kane , how TF will he win this balloon door award
♥ 2
PredSharp6h
sources saying mbappe winning
Rinho5h
😂
♥ 1
FlowState105h
lol
♥ 3
milkthedip3h
bet more then
♥ 1
deepak973h
Can you describe your sources
PredSharp1h
grandma
FlowState106h
mboobies ain't winning it
♥ 2
Rinho5h
Absolutely
♥ 1
SI
Sigma16345h
get ready to lose some monehy
♥ 1
FlowState1010h
why people buying mboobies
♥ 2
SupremeLider-KylianMbappe10h
MBAPPELOTTIN FOR BALLON DOR
milkthedip11h
So AFTER the vote ended, you guys brought yamal to 60% and mbappe to 1.8% and yesterday mbappe was 30% and yamal 8%, also mbappe has 66% chance he'll be higher than yamal, although nothing changed and no leak happened. You guys are degens
♥ 5
milkthedip10h
Also the 2nd and 3rd place markets make absolutely no sense
♥ 1
LO
Lost-Heyday6h
ahahah bro they are really degens
A7APROMAX14h
lamin will be the winner
♥ 3
naidri14h
Mpabbe the number 1
♥ 1
Nonstop-Appreciation15h
1 Yamal, 2 Khevaskhella,3 kane or mbape
♥ 3
badtothebone43013h
kvara aint even top 3 son
♥ 2
Nonstop-Appreciation16h
The market knows exactly what it is doing. i believe, Yamal is the real winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. The focus on Kane appears designed to attract more people to back him, potentially leading to greater losses for those betting on him and bigger profits for the market. Giving Kane a 75% probability makes absolutely no sense to me. The gap is simply too wide to suggest that he has outperformed the other contenders by such an extraordinary margin. That kind of prediction feels far-fetched. People need to look beyond the percentages and question the narrative the market is trying to sell.
♥ 5
SI
Sigma163415h
you know nothing about football
♥ 6
DR
DrOetker15h
I don't want to be mean, but Yamal is absolutely brain-dead. Guy had an abysmal Champions League campaign and 1 goal and 0 assists at the World Cup.
Nonstop-Appreciation15h
agree, I know nothing about football. 😂 But if Yamal wins it tomorrow and Kane doesn’t, I expect you to come back here and change your statement. You can’t just make bold claims today and disappear tomorrow when reality proves you wrong. You also can’t simply dismiss someone’s opinion or beliefs about what they think will happen when you have no proof to disprove their argument. If you disagree with what someone is saying, bring facts and evidence to support your position instead of acting as if your opinion is the only one that matters. Keep the same energy tomorrow!
♥ 1
Cypya14h
Thank you for donating money,
♥ 3
badtothebone43013h
Honestly could be either player. Kane has better stats and more trophies, yamal has the wc (with a mid performance) a good laliga season and has the most ability of any footballer. Yamal is the better player, but kane is the one with the better season so we have to see how much a wc win matters
SI
Sigma16344h
I will keep the energy and you're gonna embarass yourself
DR
DrOetker16h
Guy won the Bundesliga (which they always do) and scored some goals, had a shitty World Cup and an okay Champions League. Mbappé had a better Champions League and a much better World Cup. I don't even know why this is a discussion. Guy scored some goals against Fußballclub Oberpfaffenhofen und Sportvereinigung Hinterwalde. Surely he's going to win the Ballon d'Or XD
♥ 2
TR
Tremirorot15h
Mbappé did not win anything. He produced goals against very subpar competition (like you are claiming Kane did) but when it actually mattered, he did not produce results (note that Kane did). If you do not produce results when it matters, you can't be called the best player in the world. Real Madrid and France are both top tier teams so it's not a matter of team performance, it's a matter of Mbappé simply not producing when it matters.
♥ 1
badtothebone43013h
I guess just beating prime cr7s goal tally doesnt matter anymore. If you actually watch football its clear that he is deserving of the award. Dont forget the 3rd criteron which is character. He has arguably the best character out of the 3 contenders and its not even close. Not that its unfair if he doesnt win but complaining if he does is retarded 😂
♥ 1
IA
iamyahya29817h
#1 kane #2 mbappe and #3 lamine. Has to be this way
IA
iamyahya29817h
Otherwise, ballondor isnt simply individual+trophies+fair play and is highly influenced
♥ 1
GG
GGinsider16h
It is influenced. It’s basically a Influencer award👍🏻
♥ 2
badtothebone43013h
mbappe coming 3rd btw
TimeTraveler18h
My theory is very simple, the supposed (fake) leak or movement that led every position (1 to 5th place) to be bought up to circa 75% is the cheapest way for the organization to ''proof'' that it's not rigged and that the results are not shared in advanced with the players.
EN
enginesinmyfactory18h
Cope
♥ 1
TimeTraveler18h
Saar, you literally have a negative P&L.
EN
enginesinmyfactory18h
Spastic thinks this is my main, I mog your pnl
DavidShekel16h
600K is nothing
TimeTraveler15h
And for the 2nd, 3th, 4th and 5th place bets they probably didn't even need a total of 50K combined, since average market participants followed too.
DavidShekel15h
we talk about 9 digits more, its not even 7 digits
DavidShekel21h
I LIKE THE SHEKEL
♥ 1
SZ
Szoberslai23h
Given that 2026 Ballon d'Or does not consider anything after the world cup ends, the market still fluctuate heavily due to the irrationality of investors, even after the end of the vote😂
♥ 1
milkthedip22h
Yeah, crazy how a few fake tweets can move the market in such way
♥ 1
Dettl4ff23h
Anyone who writes about the lack of a Champions League title or the fact that Bundesliga players have never won the Ballon d'Or will lose their money because they know nothing about soccer.
♥ 2
SZ
Szoberslai23h
And time will figure out
BU
Buzzing-Onion10h
soccer 🤣
WI
Williammm1d
why no one believe messi will win?
♥ 1
milkthedip22h
Why should he win, except he's messi?
Rinho1d
Bundesliga was never enough to wins you the Ballon d'Or
♥ 2
PA
parachute0x23h
Neither was being Mbappe
♥ 4
MegaTheGabriel1d
mbappe il pallone doro è tuo
♥ 1
IM
Imgrearfull1d
Bappe will be priced at 30% soon
♥ 1
sciuboi1d
Then 0% in the end
♥ 6
alpaje1d
Harry “Bottler” Kane No UCL No World Cup Not the best Bundesliga player Not the best UCL player Not the best World Cup player Not the best UCL scorer Not the best World Cup scorer Not Bayern’s best player Not England’s best player Give me Hoffenheim, give me penalty my goals 1 out of 4 of them comes from penalty! Give me the Farmer d’Or!
♥ 6
FI
firas0071d
Why is harry kane price so overvalued, is it because he scored goals against heidenheim w munchengladbach 🤣🤣
♥ 4
milkthedip1d
You still have time to sell
♥ 1
SP
spa-ced23h
I think people betting on Kane are delusional. Don’t forget that Vini Jr. also had a 93% chance of winning the 2024 Ballon d’Or just one day before the ceremony.
♥ 1
FI
firas0074h
But everyone even rodri thought that vini would win that ballon d’or and then the biggest surprise in football history
FL
Fluid-Joy1d
yooo Mbappe 😁💫
alpaje1d
buddy his 15 cl goals 13 of them in the league stage against unkown teams, and the team he left won 2 back to back champions league while real didnt win shit since 2024
♥ 3
alpaje1d
neither kane or mbappe win anything beside their league, they dont deserve sh1t it has to be yamal
♥ 3
IM
Imgrearfull1d
bappe golden boot top scoorer in ucl near Cr7 prime levels. And 60 goals nothing right? Xdd
♥ 3
RE
Reckless-Verve1d
Yamal first BO won
alpaje1d
60 goals brother in christ against absolute dog water teams anyone can do those numbers like lewa and gomez did back in the day, and mbappe didnt win anything so he is irrelevant.
♥ 1
SP
spa-ced23h
Mbappe didn't even win the league. 0 collective titles last season.
Dettl4ff23h
you
IM
Imgrearfull1d
“A Ballon d'Or is officially an individual award meant to reward the best-performing football player of the season, not a team trophy“ we all know individually who was the best ;)
♥ 2
Channel41d
Harry Kane with 73 goals… dumbfuq
♥ 1
IM
Imgrearfull1d
In bundesliga 💀
Channel41d
Overall… you dumbfuq 🤣🤣
IM
Imgrearfull1d
We will see on monday
RE
Reckless-Verve1d
Yamal is the winner.
DavidShekel1d
mobutu
♥ 4
Nonstop-Appreciation1d
put your money on Yamal.
♥ 4
SI
Sigma163419h
and lose? lol

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