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Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

$9.4KVolume
Oct 31, 2026Resolves
107dleft
155Comments
Price history
100%75%50%25%0%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Market open
—
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
1 minute after closing

This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 AM.

In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".

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SSoccer
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
LLionel Messi40%
LLamine Yamal33%
HHarry Kane17%
OOusmane Dembélé4%
KKylian Mbappé2%
PPedri1%
$78.4K Vol107d left
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Live community discussion.

  • ME
    megatrack976134m

    My copy trades keep hitting

  • Nibiru235m

    wen?

  • PL
    Plush-Saving1h

    I think once the season starts again an people forget about the world cup when Kane scores a hattrick or something, messis odds will tank heavy. No way they give it to an MLS player that showed up in a World Cup tournament where the opponents weren't impressive till the Semis

  • Panda2102h

    So many people losing on rigged games, bio making me bank

  • alpaje5h

    MLS merchant literally 15th best league in the world 🥀 and have %40

    ♥ 1
  • MI
    minorshark38227h

    its so effortless when you copy trade.

  • SE
    seaviewablue7h

    After Today, I do Not See any realistic Chance how Harry Kane could get Ballon D‘Or. Lamine or WC victory will weigh more than maybe making place 3 or scoring 6 goals against Paderborn in the Bundesliga.

  • EliteBetter7h

    How will Kane win Ballon D'or? Because won Bundesliga? LOL.

  • K1
    K1KE7h

    Betting on Kane before the match against Argentina was the move; they didn't stand a chance against Spain, but against Argentina, it was a 50/50 shot.

  • EliteBetter6h

    I'm talking now, the price is absurd... he is at 17% LOL.

  • K1
    K1KE5h

    If it’s true, it’s absurd that it’s at 17%, but before the match it was close to 50%—something even more absurd; it really looks like an almost sure bet.

    ♥ 1
  • EliteBetter8h

    Put rodri and ruiz!!!!!

  • bau78h

    hows rodri not here

  • EliteBetter8h

    Idk...

  • FU
    futurefox26138h

    copy trading is the way...

  • DavidShekel18h

    messi ballon d'or, come on guys...

    ♥ 1
  • NE
    necesitoplatamrd23h

    add fabian ruiz

    ♥ 2
  • LI
    lightwolf2491d

    first time being up and its from copy trading.

  • GT
    GTG7911d

    WTF, WHERE IS RODRI 🤷🏻‍♂️🙏

  • EliteBetter1d

    Where is rodri?

    ♥ 3
  • K1
    K1KE1d

    Rodri was injured for a large part of the season; I don't think he should be included.

  • EliteBetter1d

    I understand, but isn't you who gives the prize. Ballon D'or prize doesn't follow the most rational arguments and criteria and is a very emotional and narrative prize. You aren't buying who you think to deserve to win the prize, but who you think will win it as choosen by others.

    ♥ 1
  • K1
    K1KE1d

    That’s true, but I think they’ll probably give it to Yamal—I don’t think they’ll give it to Rodri; partly because Yamal has more marketing appeal.

  • EliteBetter1d

    You can buy no, if they create it.

  • IV
    ivanmi1d

    BALLON D'RODRI

  • EliteBetter1d

    Kvicha was at almost 8% at some point. The dumb people betted him because he did the best CL. They forgot that he was out of WC. Nothing happened and now he is at 0.3%.

    ♥ 2
  • SO
    sourtiger14262d

    Dont even need to know anything just copy trade

  • EliteBetter3d

    Ballon D'Or - French players: 53% chance. Spanish players: 7% chance. Favorites for WC win: France only 39% and Spain 20%. Explain me this difference please (53 vs 39 and 7 vs 20). Will be fun to see what happens if France loses the WC.

    ♥ 1
  • MA
    magicwand9521h

    lollll

    ♥ 1
  • KO
    KonstantinWIN6d

    Hello everyone, France will win the World Cup, and Dembele has already won the Champions League this season, so if he wins the World Cup, he will win the Ballon d'Or.

    ♥ 3
  • sabinbaby4d

    bro knows ball

  • ST
    Staid-Efficacy2d

    nahh it's not all about achievement , harry kane had the better performance plus kylan is killing it on the wc

  • MA
    magicwand9521h

    this did not age well. i lost money too btw

  • FG
    fghjk890Jul 9

    Harry Kane remains the front-runner for the 2026 Ballon d’Or, with World Cup performances set to seal the final result.

  • RI
    rianstanleyJul 8

    Fifa wants Messi as the winner

  • ST
    Staid-Efficacy2d

    so bet on him

  • RI
    rianstanley2d

    Nah, I'm Brazilian

  • Kepa.GLJul 7

    Messi ez

  • Luck7.7.7Jul 1

    dembele

    ♥ 4
  • TimeTravelerJun 23

    Hairy Kane.

  • financebrotnJun 23

    imagine Dominik Szoboszlai winning ballon dior

  • TimeTravelerJun 17

    We might need Messi, Polymarket team.

    ♥ 6
  • BE
    believer60k.Jun 17

    meessii

    ♥ 1
  • BE
    believer60k.Jun 17

    add messi

    ♥ 1
  • EM
    Emotional-ReunionJun 17

    Where that f.. is messi

  • IN
    Incompatible-BouquetJun 16

    Add Messi!

    ♥ 1
  • EliteBetterJun 9

    Dembélé from 26% to 13% (half) in less than 1 month. How to explain this? What happened?

  • sciuboiJun 10

    Then he scores a goal at the WC and he goes straight to 40%.

    ♥ 2
  • EliteBetterJun 26

    What did you said :0?

  • EliteBetterJun 2

    I can't understand Kane as high as 28% here, England with only 11% and Kane top goalscorer in WC only 14%??? So do you believe that there are more universes where Kane wins Ballon D'Or Losing WC and not being Top Goalscorer of WC than universes where Kane is top goalscorer in WC or England wins (knowing that Rice can win too)? Good luck with that...

    ♥ 4
  • syanoveeMay 20

    Declan Rice Ballon d’Or talks 🥀🥀🥀🥀🥀🥀🥀🥀🥀

    ♥ 3
  • RobertMauriceMay 19

    only 7% for Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ?

    ♥ 1
  • RobertMauriceMay 20

    Weah and Benzema won the Ballon d’Or without playing in a World Cup

  • EliteBetterJun 2

    Both won the prize off WC years... Benzema for 2021-22 season (WC was in 2022-23 season) and Weah in 1994-95 season.

  • CO
    CompromisedGuyMay 15

    The line movement here has been significant

  • EM
    Emotional-ReunionMay 11

    add messi and neymar

  • LA
    Lazy-PlaceMay 10

    The public is overweighting recent results

    ♥ 1
  • DO
    Done1timeMay 8

    CR7 world Cup Winner +1000 goals + Saoudi League and he will not have the trophy naaaah respect he s gonna take it forsuree Look at the pics with Trump

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Harry Kane · Yes
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