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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$59.2KVolume
Dec 31, 2026Resolves
116dleft
41Comments
Price history
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This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.

This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.

A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Market open
Feb 2, 2026, 10:34 PM
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
1 minute after closing

This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM.

In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".

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Amount
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Live community discussion.

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 27

    From 1,11t to 1,25t mcap in private for anthropic within 10days. Let’s go

    ♥ 1
  • AL
    altdelAug 28

    Don’t forget to sell before it’s too late.

    ♥ 1
  • no1yetAug 16

    AI is a massive trend, no doubt. But SpaceX has been built over two decades. It’s more than just rockets and spacecraft: Starlink, xAI (Grok), X, and massive AI infrastructure.

    ♥ 5
  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 17

    dont under estimate anthropic growth. but i got u, id also cope if i was on the verge of becoming a 1001th day thanksgiving turkey

  • no1yetAug 17

    It’s all good, man. The bets are in.

  • LordProtector4d

    SpaceX: ~$30–35B Revenue in 2026, ~+50–90% growth. Anthropic: ~$65B+ ARR, ~+620% growth.

  • r-x-cAug 15

    I don't think anthropic can surpass SPCX

    ♥ 3
  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 15

    bruh 1,18T$ fdv in private already. Not ready

  • AS
    AsahikoAug 15

    SPCX has many narrative an enormous fan base and had time to get sell the dream, anthropic (heavy usuer here) still not at all an equivalent community, also all other Frontier labs at least on the public. (accessible) models have more or less catch up, I can see the 2.T headings not more and will prob be 1.5

    ♥ 4
  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 25

    1.25t in private

  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 14

    anthropic has to close above 2.11 trillions $ to surpass space x, easily doable if the IPO starts at 2t, this should be at 70 c yes

  • AL
    altdelAug 14

    The market is overreacting. They could still reschedule the IPO for 2027, especially with the rate hikes and uncertainty around Iran.

    ♥ 2
  • PR
    ProbsAug 15

    The other polymatket for whether Anthropic IPOs this year is at 80%

    ♥ 1
  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 14

    Btw mcap to beat : 2,11 t$

    ♥ 1
  • SC
    schizohedgehogAug 13

    FT Report = A story of no story!!!

    ♥ 2
  • ThanksGivingTurkey1001Aug 13

    thats brazy

  • GJ
    gjrdjldkfJul 10

    Elon Musk

    ♥ 1
  • MD
    mdslkvndflJul 9

    SpaceX 😃

    ♥ 2
  • MN
    mnvlkdfvhldfJul 6

    Elon Musk is one of my idols that I admire the most.

    ♥ 2
  • SI
    SIMOMEGAJul 8

    what are these "x i adore the most" even trying to achieve

    ♥ 1
  • SI
    SIMOMEGAJul 13

    on second thought, probably js trying to pump the prices? not that it matters though, since realistically SpaceX isnt gna lose anyway

  • FG
    fghj87654Jul 5

    open ai

    ♥ 2
  • denizaltin419Jun 24

    i am not interested in OpenAI or Discord at current prices

    ♥ 1
  • SI
    SIMOMEGAJul 17

    why should we care

  • PSYCHO.CALLS.28Apr 8

    I think space x won’t even go public

    ♥ 1
  • GoopsterJun 13

    hmmmmmm

    ♥ 3
  • FU
    Full-BaggyMar 19

    No way it’s not SpaceX—everyone’s still pretending Rivian or Stripe might pull off a $100B+ IPO while Elon’s quietly prepping Starlink spinoff with actual revenue and zero burn rate. Come argue about valuation math in our community: htt ps://t.m e/+hfDgUWSeQxs1MzZl

  • Angel555Mar 17

    spacex of corse

    ♥ 1
  • DK
    dkcaMar 15

    wealthy

    ♥ 1
  • LuciemFeb 26

    Congratulations in advance to Musk for becoming increasingly wealthy!

    ♥ 3
  • GB
    gbjgcFeb 9

    spx

  • PaynaFeb 4

    It must be to the moon

    ♥ 2
  • Angel555Mar 16

    SPACEX

  • JE
    JesetradingFeb 3

    Look at the IPO in 2026 markets, there is a 9% arb here.

    ♥ 2
  • JE
    JesetradingFeb 3

    pls fix