Human moon landing in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Market open
- Jan 7, 2026, 9:02 PM
- Market closes
- After the outcome occurs
- Projected payout
- 1 minute after closing
This market will close and expire after a winner is declared. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM.
In this event, at most one market can resolve to "Yes". When buying or selling "No" across multiple markets, you may receive some funds back or be required to pay funds. This is called "collateral return".
Live community discussion.
Tim is NOT going to the moon
- PU
4% bond lmao
just a reminder, artemis' mission only oribts the moon and has 0 plans for human moonwalk
♥ 2- TO
yeaaa we know but lets pump this market :)
NASA’s official Artemis III target is “no earlier than September 2026
♥ 1- PU
What about the option to bet on a robot?
♥ 2 
March: Artemis II launch, then China comes out of nowhere and launches a moon mission at the same time. The rockets are racing in the sky but Artemis II is not supposed to land on the surface, even though they are faster, so China lands on the moon and the bet resolves Yes
♥ 17- KA
Can we get a market for 'is the earth flat' so that UMA whales can fabricate the truth and say it's NOT when it CLEARLY IS if you just look outside. YOU CAN'T SEE A CURVE. NO ONE CAN.
♥ 7 - AI
🤣
♥ 1 - TH
I see a curve it's very obvious
ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON, I REPEAT: ARTEMIS 2 WILL LAND ON THE MOON WITH THE ORION MODULE TO COLLECT MOON SOIL.
- CR
yeah in 2028 lmao
that will be artemis 4
a dangerous bond - the Americans might simply lie again and say they landed on the moon.
♥ 3- TH
Nobody has been to the moon ever
- ST
Its going to happen.
- FA
the moon doesnt even exist
♥ 86 
Are we deadass
- TH
You don't exist then
- VI
Who the hell buys yes?
♥ 8 - FI
Why would you buy no? You're better off just holding your money in a savings account if you want a 5% return?
♥ 8 - IR
because they might """land""" (*sarcasm)
♥ 1 - NI
On the hopes china does this year I guess
Who is ready for the updated CGI
♥ 4
A beaver can dream
♥ 16
While Artemis II launches this year, their mission is incapable of any moonwalks. Artemis III however will have the tools to do so.
♥ 2
to
i'm stuck in this dumb market, mf THERE IS 0% CHANCE FOR THIS YEAR
♥ 4- AC
yes yes
2027
lmao
I wish tbh
- TR
anything but actually good markets
♥ 1 
Hollywood can build a real lunar environment in the US at any time.